By Mark McGillivray (eds.)
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Additional info for Achieving the Millennium Development Goals
Recent growth forecasts are generally more positive than the older ones7 and estimates of poverty in 1990 have been revised downward, especially for Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC). 1), with absolute numbers of poor under the $US1 a day standard in Africa overtaking South Asia at around the current time. If a $US2 a day poverty line is used then South Asia will continue to have the bulk of the world’s income-poor in 2015 (46 per cent), followed by SSA (31 per cent). 2) are based on our own income poverty estimates.
3 Under-5 mortality 2015 (UN Population Projection, 2004 Revision) 31 Infant mortality rate 32 Howard White and Nina Blöndal 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 1950 1970 No. 4 Mortality trends: (a) infant mortality rate; (b) child mortality rate; (c) number of infant deaths; (d) number of child deaths; (e) regional shares of infant deaths (per cent); (f) regional shares of child deaths (per cent) Source: Based on UN Population Projections 2004 revision. do so: Indonesia and Vietnam are the only two of significance (the others are Montserrat and Vanuatu; outside the sample, the Czech Republic, Moldova and Portugal will also do so).
44 Howard White and Nina Blöndal . . and this progress will continue, though not fast enough to achieve the MDGs . . All projections suggest that these gains will continue into the new millennium, although not usually fast enough to achieve the ambitious targets set by the MDGs. Neither the goal for income poverty reduction nor that for lower mortality will be met in the vast majority of countries. Attaining universal primary education is the one area where the goal looks achievable in many countries, though by no means all.
Achieving the Millennium Development Goals by Mark McGillivray (eds.)